10-year assessment of New York City’s property market

Manhattan real estate: Still reaching for the sky

Consider it a towering vote of confidence.

Buyers are snapping up the pricey dwellings at One57, the 90-story apartment building (and hotel) rising above west 57^th street.

Almost a third of these ‘trophy apartments’ have already been sold or are under contract, despite the fact that it’s still 18 months from completion. If the nearly structure’s 11,000-square foot, six bedroom penthouse fetches anywhere near its $115 million dollar asking price, it will be the most expensive New York City apartment sale ever.

Most expensive apartment sale

Nearby, at 15 Central Park West, another recent sale holds the current record. After a mere three weeks on the market, the tower’s $88 million dollar penthouse went to a Russian billionaire seeking a landing pad for daughter, a 22-year old student in Manhattan.

Those are just two of the many recent – and dramatic - signs of New York City’s robust real estate health. Another comes in "The Elliman Report: Manhattan Decade 2002-2011," a 10-year assessment of the city’s property market.

The probe reveals that New York apartment prices increased almost 89 per cent since 2002. Last year, 10,161 properties changed hands, establishing 2011 as the third busiest year real estate sales year of the decade. The 2011 sales represented the most transactions since the 2008 credit crunch. In addition, the listing discount – the difference between the asking and the final sales price - was down to 4.3%, well under the 7.1% of 2010.  

True, the average Manhattan apartment remained on the market 127 days in 2011, eight days longer than during the previous year. But that’s just one day beyond the average market days for 2002.

A solid market

It’s no surprise, then, that the report finds Manhattan real estate remarkably stable “even in the wake of the worst financial period”.

New York City property holds its value, recession or not.

Foreign buyers don’t need to be convinced of that. Roughly 20 per cent of the property deals tracked by Elliman during the first decade of the 21^st Century involved purchasers from outside the United States. These savvy shoppers already knew what their American counterparts are now rediscovering; that few investments can offer both a solid nine per cent return, and a great place to hang your hat.

All this has would-be buyer wondering: Will $115 million for a penthouse apartment with double-height windows and a sweeping Central Park vista look like a bargain in a few years?